Pre-tourney Rankings
James Madison
Colonial Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#182
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#172
Pace64.6#236
Improvement+3.1#56

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#226
Improvement-2.2#258

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#138
Improvement+5.3#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four49.5% n/a n/a
First Round76.0% n/a n/a
Second Round2.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2012 40   @ UCLA L 70-100 9%     0 - 1 -16.2 -2.3 -11.4
  Nov 19, 2012 240   @ Duquesne L 88-90 OT 51%     0 - 2 -3.3 +2.6 -5.7
  Nov 20, 2012 203   Youngstown St. W 69-68 54%     1 - 2 -1.0 +0.2 -1.0
  Nov 21, 2012 94   North Dakota St. L 44-66 28%     1 - 3 -17.0 -20.0 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2012 239   @ Miami (OH) L 58-76 51%     1 - 4 -19.2 -14.0 -5.5
  Nov 28, 2012 112   George Washington L 53-54 44%     1 - 5 -0.5 -11.8 +11.3
  Dec 01, 2012 277   Winthrop W 71-61 81%     2 - 5 -0.1 -6.4 +6.2
  Dec 05, 2012 324   East Tennessee St. W 70-45 90%     3 - 5 +10.3 -4.7 +17.4
  Dec 08, 2012 82   Richmond L 82-83 OT 37%     3 - 6 +1.5 +10.6 -9.1
  Dec 16, 2012 289   UNC Greensboro W 85-73 84%     4 - 6 +0.5 +0.4 -0.7
  Dec 22, 2012 302   San Jose St. W 77-68 78%     5 - 6 -0.1 +6.8 -6.5
  Dec 23, 2012 162   San Diego W 62-59 46%     6 - 6 +3.2 -4.0 +7.6
  Jan 02, 2013 276   @ Old Dominion W 58-55 60%     7 - 6 1 - 0 -0.6 -11.3 +11.0
  Jan 05, 2013 191   @ Georgia St. L 52-68 39%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -14.0 -16.8 +0.8
  Jan 07, 2013 274   @ Hampton L 65-69 60%     7 - 8 -7.6 -6.1 -1.4
  Jan 09, 2013 285   UNC Wilmington W 78-50 83%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +16.8 -4.3 +20.1
  Jan 12, 2013 174   Drexel W 51-43 61%     9 - 8 3 - 1 +4.2 -6.5 +13.3
  Jan 15, 2013 145   @ George Mason L 57-68 30%     9 - 9 3 - 2 -6.4 -9.6 +2.4
  Jan 19, 2013 169   @ Towson L 47-73 35%     9 - 10 3 - 3 -22.9 -23.1 -0.4
  Jan 23, 2013 168   Delaware W 64-50 59%     10 - 10 4 - 3 +10.7 -6.6 +18.4
  Jan 26, 2013 276   Old Dominion W 56-46 81%     11 - 10 5 - 3 -0.1 -15.4 +16.6
  Jan 28, 2013 285   @ UNC Wilmington W 63-56 64%     12 - 10 6 - 3 +2.3 -4.8 +8.1
  Jan 31, 2013 293   Hofstra W 62-41 84%     13 - 10 7 - 3 +9.3 +2.3 +11.8
  Feb 02, 2013 145   George Mason L 63-74 54%     13 - 11 7 - 4 -12.9 -11.2 -1.6
  Feb 06, 2013 216   William & Mary W 81-71 70%     14 - 11 8 - 4 +3.7 +11.0 -6.0
  Feb 10, 2013 174   @ Drexel L 48-60 36%     14 - 12 8 - 5 -9.3 -13.4 +1.8
  Feb 12, 2013 169   Towson W 75-70 60%     15 - 12 9 - 5 +1.6 +3.6 -1.7
  Feb 17, 2013 168   @ Delaware W 72-71 35%     16 - 12 10 - 5 +4.2 +0.2 +4.0
  Feb 20, 2013 178   @ Northeastern L 64-66 37%     16 - 13 10 - 6 +0.6 +3.0 -2.8
  Feb 23, 2013 191   Georgia St. L 62-66 64%     16 - 14 10 - 7 -8.5 -14.0 +5.4
  Mar 02, 2013 216   @ William & Mary W 69-67 46%     17 - 14 11 - 7 +2.2 -4.4 +6.8
  Mar 09, 2013 216   William & Mary W 72-67 58%     18 - 14 +2.0 +1.3 +1.2
  Mar 10, 2013 168   Delaware W 58-57 47%     19 - 14 +1.0 -12.8 +13.8
  Mar 11, 2013 178   Northeastern W 70-57 49%     20 - 14 +12.4 -7.6 +19.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 14.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9